More Lineage

Apr 29
                                                       Publications
Debt Restructuring and Income Inequality
Public Comments on Restructuring of the Federal Debt
White House Statement On National Bankruptcy
The Game Changer
Xtra: Game Theory And The Assessment of A National Tariff Program
                                                     Reports

 Russia Is on a Slow Path to Bankruptcy, But How Slow?

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Doubting The Dollar As The International Safe Haven

Apr 29

Dollar Doubts Dominate Gathering of Global Economic Leaders

Participants at the I.M.F and World Bank meetings this week reckoned with the prospect that the U.S. safe haven could lose its luster.


By Colby Smith

Reporting from Washington

  • April 26, 2025

On the sidelines of the spring meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank this week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent tried to convey an important message about the United States dollar.

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An Invitation to Participate

Apr 27

To: Interested Parties

I have served as a career employee in five Presidential Administrations, including service as the Assistant Director of OMB.

The federal deficit is increasing at such a rate that it is highly probable that the United States will go into bankruptcy. When such an event occurs the normal response of a national government is to issue additional currency with the debilitating impact of massive inflation.

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Managing a private firm compared with managing the federal government

Apr 25

It should be noted that managing a private firm is focused primarily on making a profit; managing the United States government is focused on providing services to a very diverse public.  The largest firm in the private sector (April 2025) has revenues of 1.4 billion; the federal government spends 16.9 billion per day.

The skills in each of the aforementioned sectors might be complementary, but it is questionable whether they are interchangeable.

The aforementioned observations should be given consideration when choosing those who are to lead a program for restructuring the federal debt:

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Who is in CRE’s Corner?

Apr 19

CRE has taken a position on the bankruptcy of the United States government, if not opposed by the US financial community, most certainly has not endorsed by it.

That said, CRE does have three individuals who agree with its position on the forthcoming  bankruptcy of the United States government.

  • The founder of the world’s largest hedge fund
  • The richest man in the world
  • The President of the United States

The above ranking from beginning with the earliest to the most recent statement on the issue.

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Public Comments on Restructuring of the Federal Debt

Apr 12
Macro Strategy

The Center for Regulatory Effectiveness (CRE) has been a student of the increasing federal debt for decades. Recently it has concluded that the the United States is on its way to an irreversible bankruptcy.

Historically other nations, when confronted with such an event, simply issue additional currency with the resultant impact of catastrophic inflation. CRE is in support of a different alternative–restructuring of the national debt. Restructuring of debt is commonplace in the private sector but less common in the public sector, particularly at the national level. The restructuring program advocated herein is probably the first of its kind because it incorporates many of the principles and programs traditionally used in Notice and Comment rulemakings.

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Game Theory And the Assessment Of A National Tariff Program

Apr 05

Game theory can be highly applicable to a national tariff program as it provides a strategic framework for analyzing the interactions between various stakeholders, such as governments, industries, and other countries. Here’s how it can be relevant:

1. Strategic Interaction Between Countries (International Trade)
  • Nash Equilibrium: Game theory can help analyze the outcomes of tariff decisions by modeling the actions of different countries as strategic moves. Each country aims to maximize its own welfare (economic growth, political stability, etc.), but the outcome depends on the choices of other countries. The Nash Equilibrium occurs when no country can unilaterally improve its position by changing its tariff strategy.
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